Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 72.665925 81.809811 91.173698 101.447970 112.373134 123.614175 136.025065
2025-05-25 57.864262 70.891660 84.855178 100.804063 118.391169 137.078200 158.322599
2025-06-01 49.423269 64.591024 81.408378 101.168149 123.497536 147.722351 175.770467
2025-06-08 42.107499 58.557771 77.385489 100.077826 126.272442 155.193972 189.187597
2025-06-15 37.621350 55.257941 76.001913 101.536877 131.521463 165.086926 204.998050
2025-06-22 33.977369 52.565646 74.991318 103.126068 136.663734 174.654677 220.272763
2025-06-29 29.703835 48.667071 72.182025 102.276483 138.705585 180.465944 231.098054
2025-07-06 25.364548 44.275415 68.430496 99.992603 138.799941 183.817982 238.921774
2025-07-13 24.044443 43.796316 69.522431 103.586566 145.882249 195.307544 256.157840
2025-07-20 22.290193 42.550096 69.500888 105.691121 151.086475 204.534631 270.727352
2025-07-27 19.776742 40.000022 67.597421 105.273305 153.091456 209.877403 280.674147
2025-08-03 17.385276 37.407974 65.470486 104.429331 154.458181 214.371831 289.553050
2025-08-10 15.698450 35.764309 64.572478 105.159125 157.806312 221.308396 301.427759
2025-08-17 13.769195 33.554285 62.757285 104.582702 159.440763 226.125107 310.753540
2025-08-24 12.310208 31.959137 61.707094 104.941856 162.200177 232.270501 321.643074
2025-08-31 10.607399 29.759861 59.648047 103.829776 162.989968 235.935051 329.495258
2025-09-07 9.722807 28.909897 59.521370 105.320324 167.119098 243.714836 342.333973
2025-09-14 8.946609 28.175420 59.516557 106.944010 171.400745 251.676093 355.397051
2025-09-21 7.695827 26.381687 57.787824 106.076031 172.353672 255.439867 363.305139
2025-09-28 6.293824 24.068243 55.104134 103.742411 171.280011 256.592971 367.958242
2025-10-05 6.144511 24.373642 56.601417 107.414440 178.228689 267.892339 385.135075
2025-10-12 5.732687 24.054334 57.057971 109.564189 183.130531 276.601725 399.125252
2025-10-19 4.926587 22.724660 55.783175 109.137431 184.525177 280.830662 407.555449